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We live in tumultuous times. With debate raging over
whether to dispatch Korean combat troops to
Iraq, leaders in Seoul face a momentous decision - one
that will have serious repercussions regardless of
which way they decide. Allow me to contribute a
couple of ideas of my own, in the hopes of (ever so
slightly) enriching the debate surrounding this
pressing issue.
Firstly, let me say that unlike a number of pundits, I
have no problem with Seoul considering, first and
foremost, its national interests when it finally
decides on whether to send troops or not. The
interests of the people of Iraq and world peace are
all well and good, and definitely something we should
strive for, but they are not something you base
critical national decisions on, unless you are looking
to court disaster. Yes, the people of Iraq need help,
but so do a lot of people in the world - the security
situation in the Congo is equally nasty, but I don't
see anyone (besides those parties with an expressed
interest in being there) rushing to send troops. The
cold, hard fact is that nations do what's in their
best interests, and that's especially the case when
military options are being considered. I argued
against the deployment of American troops to Liberia,
and I still question the presence of American troops
in the Balkans because I feel that the United States has few
interests to protect in either region that are worth
placing American troops in harm's way. I have also
argued at my webpage (marmot.blogs.com/korea)
quite consistently for the withdrawal of American
troops from South Korea because I felt that their
presence here served no appreciable American
interests. So I am not going to argue that South Korea
should send its young men and women to Iraq for Middle East peace, "the children," or any other reason
- no matter how admirable - other than that it's in
Seoul's national interest to do so.
Likewise, I'm extremely uncomfortable with arguments
to the effect that South Korea should dispatch troops
to Iraq out of feelings of loyalty or gratitude to the
United States. Whether or not South Koreans should
feel such feelings about their No. 1 Ally is
beside the point; like I stated above, sentiment is a
very dangerous thing to base foreign policy decisions
on, especially those with life and death consequences.
Like any nation, South Korea needs to approach this
issue with a cool-headed realism and ask itself
whether the benefits of sending its forces into
a hot situation like Iraq outweigh the drawbacks, not
the least of which is the very real possibility that
some of its young people will be coming home from the
desert in body bags. With this in mind, I should also
say that I do not resent that Seoul is taking
its time with this decision. Roh Moo-hyun, after all,
is ultimately responsible to the South Korean voters,
not the United States, the United Nations or "world opinion." Now, statesmen
often act contrary to domestic opinion when vital
national interests are at stake, but those decisions
are rarely easy or quickly arrived upon. To expect
South Korea to make up its mind immediately on an
issue like this is neither realistic nor fair. I'm not
saying that Seoul should drag its feet on the issue -
time is a factor, after all - but we should allow the
South Korean government some space to both consider
its decision and sell that decision to the public to
which it's ultimately responsible.
Now that I've said that, let me say that I'm of the
opinion that South Korea should send combat-ready
forces to Iraq. First off, South Korea has as much
interest in seeing a stable, democratic Iraq as the
United States. More so, actually - unlike the United
States, which has sizable oil reserves of its own,
South Korea is almost entirely dependent on Middle
Eastern oil imports, and I can't see how letting the
region go to pot would be in South Korea's national
interests. Instability in the Persian Gulf could very
well strike at the heart of South Korea's economic
lifeline, and it's of utmost importance to not only
Washington, but also Seoul and Tokyo to see the
American mission in Iraq succeed.
Of course, Korea may choose to play "free-rider" in
Iraq - enjoying all the benefits of America's
involvement there without actually having to get its
own hands dirty. But doing so carries very real risks.
Frankly, the U.S.-ROK relationship is in a hole, and
despite the constant calls from the South Korean
public for a "more equal relationship," the biggest
danger facing the alliance is that the United States will
eventually realize that the American-South Korean
relationship, as it is currently structured, brings no
benefits to the United States worth the costs of
maintaining it. Right now, South Korea is not an
"ally" in the commonly understood meaning of the word,
but a protectorate - and a costly and potentially
dangerous one at that. For the South Koreans, however,
the U.S.-ROK alliance is their only real security
guarantee; no multilateral security organization like
NATO exists in Northeast Asia, and the peninsula is
surrounded by more powerful and potentially hostile
neighbors with long histories of imperial dominance
over Korea. Of course, Korea could evolve itself into
an Asian Switzerland - a neutral state that enforces
its neutrality by arming itself to the teeth - but to
do so would be costly and there is no guarantee that
Korea's neighbors would respect its neutrality should a
Great Power conflict erupt in the region. An alliance
with the United States would seem to make sense, but
to maintain the U.S.-ROK alliance would require a
transformation of the relationship from one of
patron-client to that of a true alliance between
equals. For that to happen, there need to be attitude
changes in both Washington and Seoul. For South Korea,
it must ween itself off the teat of American power and
show Washington how the ROK can be a useful ally, both
regionally and globally. And if Seoul needed
incentive, it should be kept in mind that Japan seems
to be willing to transform itself into just such an
ally, and I'm positive that getting stuck between
China on one side and a Japan-U.S. alliance on the other
can in no way be in South Korea's national interests.
There are also more mundane issues that can be
addressed. South Korea has bragged about the prowess
of its special forces, but frankly, the only way one
can know for certain just how competent they are is to
use them. In Korea, one often hears reference to
"showing the world Korea's power," and here's a
perfect opportunity for Koreans to do just that. The
South Korean military has skills that may be useful in
Iraq, and by exercising those skills, South Korean
leaders and military officials can better gauge the
effectiveness of the ROK's fighting men and make
adjustments in doctrine should changes prove to be
necessary. Moreover, by accepting such a high profile
assignment, barring a major disaster, Korea's
international standing cannot help but improve. South
Korean influence in both Washington and the UN stands
to increase dramatically, influence which in turn
could be used to decide issues of even greater
importance to South Korea's vital interests. And in
the Middle East - both the sole source of South Korea's
oil and a major target of South Korean investment -
Seoul would gain a louder voice over how events played
out (and not to be too blunt, but also a louder voice
in how contracts for post-war reconstruction projects
are parceled out).
In power politics, you've got to pay to play. South
Korea, on the face of it, appears to have all the
goods required to be a major player in world affairs.
But if you're not willing to use those goods, you
can't complain when other powers cut you out of the
loop. A major project is currently underway in Iraq -
a project that will impact Korea regardless of whether
it succeeds or fails. An American defeat in Iraq
carries with it profound dangers for Korea's economic
well-being and security, while an American success in
Iraq without South Korean support would not only be an
opportunity wasted for Seoul, but call into question
the utility of the entire ROK-U.S. alliance. If South
Korea truly wishes to have an "equal relationship"
with the United States, then Iraq is the perfect place
to prove it.
Robert Koehler
Gwangju
Oct. 1, 2003
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